Saturday, November 7, 2009

EURO Flexible exchange rates

The ECB targets interest rates rather than exchange rates and in general does not intervene on the foreign exchange rate markets, because of the implications of the Mundell-Fleming Model which suggest that a central bank cannot maintain interest rate and exchange rate targets simultaneously because increasing the money supply results in a depreciation of the currency. In the years following the Single European Act, the EU has liberalised its capital markets, and as the ECB has chosen monetary autonomy, the exchange rate regime of the euro is flexible, or floating. This explains why the exchange rate of the euro vis-à-vis other currencies is characterised by strong fluctuations. Most notable are the fluctuations of the euro versus the U.S. dollar, another free-floating currency. However this focus on the dollar-euro parity is partly subjective. It is taken as a reference because the euro competes with the dollar's role as reserve currency. The effect of this selective reference is misleading, as it gives observers the impression that a rise in the value of the euro versus the dollar is the effect of increased global strength of the euro, while it may be the effect of an intrinsic weakening of the dollar itself.
U.S. dollars per 1 euro 1999-2009
YearLowest ↓Highest ↑
DateRateDateRate
199903 Dec$1.001505 Jan$1.1790
200026 Oct$0.825206 Jan$1.0388
200106 Jul$0.838405 Jan$0.9545
200228 Jan$0.857831 Dec$1.0487
200308 Jan$1.037731 Dec$1.2630
200414 May$1.180228 Dec$1.3633
200515 Nov$1.166703 Jan$1.3507
200602 Jan$1.182605 Dec$1.3331
200712 Jan$1.289327 Nov$1.4874
200827 Oct$1.246015 Jul$1.5990
200905 Mar$1.255523 Oct$1.5020
Source: Euro exchange rates in USD, ECB

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